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THE WINDOWS MUST REMAIN CLOSED, by François Leclerc
Guest post. Translated from the French by Tim Gupwell
By rejecting the quartet’s plan, (which has, moreover, already been watered-down) before the summit has even been held, the German deputy foreign affairs minister, Michael Link has placed himself in the avant-garde of all those opposing any attempt at a compromise. The “iron chancellor’s”…
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“KANT WAS RIGHT!”
Translated from the French by Tim Gupwell
A female reader of my blog asked me to give her some tips for her upcoming business school exam. This is how I replied.
It seems important to me to focus on the possibility that any measures proposed can be generalized. It was Martin Wolf who…
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STICKING TO ONE’S PRINCIPLES…, by François Leclerc
Guest post. Translated from the French by Tim Gupwell
What was the plan being drawn up last week in Rome which Merkel refused to sign up to? The other three participants, Mario Monti, Mariano Rajoy and François Hollande advocated using the EFSF, and in the near future the ESM, directly, to bail-out the…
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RED HERRINGS, by François Leclerc
Guest post. Translated from the French by Tim Gupwell
The magic word growth only needs to be pronounced in order for everything to become just like it was before. At least that is what the four European leaders gathered yesterday at Rome seemed to believe when they announced the figure of 120 to…
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TREASURE HUNT, by François Leclerc
Guest post. Translated from the French by Tim Gupwell
Following the clues for the next bail-out of the Spanish banks is proving to be a veritable treasure hunt. To participate, follow the guide!
Initially, the EFSF (European Financial Stability Facility) is going to borrow funds on the markets, using the member states guarantees,…
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France 24, “Is François Hollande’s fiscal program likely to hurt France’s competitiveness?”, at 7:10 PM, June 21st 2012
Don’t you love the way this is phrased? Can the guy ever recover from such an even-handed (cough! cough!) way of setting the issue?
Anyway, here it is.
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THE RETURN OF THE LENDERS OF LAST RESORT, by François Leclerc
Guest post. Translated from the French by Tim Gupwell
Here is a summary of the situation. Newly named Prime Minister, Antonis Samaras is continuing to put together a government which was voted in on the basis that it would renegotiate a bail-out plan which is falling apart anyway. In supporting him without sending…
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SPAIN: BOND MARKET THIS THURSDAY 21St JUNE
Spain managed to borrow 2.22 billion Euros this morning. It was hoping to raise 7.7 billion. The Wall Street Journal pointed out that this was “thanks to demand seen overwhelmingly coming from domestic banks”.
The coupon obtained by lenders for 2 years was 4.706% (compared with 2.069% on the 1st March); over…
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NOTHING TO WORRY ABOUT ! , by François Leclerc
Guest post. Translated from the French by Tim Gupwell
The G20 in Los Cabos seemed like a preparatory meeting for the Summit of the Heads of State and European Governments! This seems to highlight the fact that they no longer know what to do, and are running round like headless chicken.
The same…
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THE SPANISH RISK PREMIUM
There were two bond issues today, one in Spain, the other in Denmark, which allow us to carry out an interesting little calculation of the risk premium required of Spain when it borrows on the capital markets.
A short while ago the Spanish…
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Le Vif/L’Express, « There is ALWAYS an alternative », June 22, 2012
This is an exclusive preview – in English! – of my column which will be published in the Belgian weekly Le Vif/L’Express this coming Thursday
The phenomenon is the way in which things manifest themselves to us, and this can be real – either with things appearing as they really are; or it can be…
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FRANCE AND THE FUTURE OF EUROPE
France and the future of Europe
The fact that Spain seems to have lost all access to the capital markets for the foreseeable future, seeming thus, at first glance, to condemn the entire existence of the Eurozone, was headline news on Paul Jorion’s blog yesterday. Firstly, as discussed in the article ironically entitled “
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THE LOSS OF CONFIDENCE IN SPANISH DEBT: LIVE
In my article this morning ‘The Greeks have made the right choice’ I indicated that:
…the 10 year rate for Spanish bonds was 6.82% at opening time this morning and now stands at 7.13%. (10.25 AM).
The dramatic progression has continued: it is 2.40 PM and the rate is now at 7.22%
The correct…
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“THE GREEKS HAVE MADE THE RIGHT CHOICE!”
“The Greeks have made the right choice!”
Oh blast, the markets see it differently: the 10 year Spanish rate was at 6.82% at opening this morning and now it’s at 7.25% (3:30 PM). Unheard of, one has to say. Damned markets!
Voting for the Troïka method – it was pretty obvious – was voting…
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ON THE EVE OF THE GREEK ELECTIONS, by Panagiotis Grigoriou
Guest post. Translated from the French by Tim Gupwell
On Thursday 14th June a woman from Crete, aged 32 years old, stole three packs of milk and an ice-cream from a supermarket in Héraklion, causing a loss to the shop of 20.77 Euros. For several days, her…
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A BIG BANG, OR NOTHING , by François Leclerc
Guest post. Translated from the French by Tim Gupwell
With the G20 meeting being held in Mexico at the start of the week, our perspective will find itself altered, falsely accustomed as we are to only seeing the debt crisis from a European angle. On the 18th and 19th June, the greats of…
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STEPS TOO STEEP TO CLIMB, by François Leclerc
Guest post. Translated from the French by Tim Gupwell
François Hollande is on the offensive and Angela Merkel firmly on the defensive, with both setting their sights on a compromise in the summit at the end of June (a compromise which remains inconceivable for the moment). How is it viewed by Paris, with…