![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/tendance2910.jpg\")
——————————\nLa courbe bleue <\/b><\/i>repr\u00e9sente le\u00a0<\/i>taux de variation des admissions en r\u00e9animation\u00a0<\/b><\/i>(en comparant la moyenne des 7 jours courant \u00e0 celle de la veille) appel\u00e9 ici\u00a0 : \u00ab\u00a0dynamique\u00a0\u00bb (d%)<\/i>
\nsi >0, les services se remplissent<\/i>
\nsi=0, situation en plateau<\/i>
\nsi<0, les services se vident.<\/i>
\n<\/i>
\nla courbe rouge<\/b><\/i>\u00a0repr\u00e9sente\u00a0<\/i>l’intensit\u00e9 d\u00e9riv\u00e9e de la valeur pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente\u00a0<\/b><\/i>afin de montrer la \u00ab\u00a0contrainte\u00a0\u00bb que des mesures prises exercent sur les taux d’entr\u00e9es en r\u00e9animation.<\/i>
\nsi >0, la contrainte est favorable\u00a0 (contr\u00f4le du processus \u00e9pid\u00e9mique)<\/i>
\nsi <0, contrainte d\u00e9favorable (perte de contr\u00f4le)<\/i>
\n——————————
J-1 avant le confinement no2.<\/u><\/b><\/i><\/p>\n
Le d\u00e9veloppement de l’\u00e9pid\u00e9mie semble\u00a0marquer le pas sur le plan national\u00a0<\/b><\/i> (il semble y avoir des diff\u00e9rences qui se creusent entre\u00a0 les r\u00e9gions , mais cela reste encore peu marqu\u00e9 …. )<\/p>\n
la\u00a0dynamique<\/b> (taux d’entr\u00e9e en r\u00e9animation : courbe bleue)\u00a0plafonne en dessous de 5% \/jours<\/b>.<\/p>\n
l’intensit\u00e9\u00a0<\/b>du ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne (baisse du taux : courbe rouge) part doucement \u00e0 la hausse\u00a0<\/b>(meilleur contr\u00f4le).<\/p>\n
est-ce l’effet du couvre-feu ?<\/p>\n
on peut apercevoir que la tendance \u00e9tait clairement n\u00e9gative d\u00e8s le d\u00e9but septembre et aurait justifi\u00e9 alors des mesures d\u00e9cisives pour nous \u00e9pargner ce confinement tardif.<\/p>\n
restent \u00e0 d\u00e9couvrir les v\u00e9ritables raisons de l’am\u00e9lioration relative de la fin septembre, qui a peut-\u00eatre induit en erreur nos d\u00e9cideurs.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
——————————
La courbe bleue <\/b><\/i>repr\u00e9sente le\u00a0<\/i>taux de variation des admissions en r\u00e9animation\u00a0<\/b><\/i>(en comparant la moyenne des 7 jours courant \u00e0 celle de la veille) appel\u00e9 ici\u00a0 : \u00ab\u00a0dynamique\u00a0\u00bb (d%)<\/i>
si >0, les services se remplissent<\/i>
si=0, situation en […]<\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7095,7515,6301],"tags":[7096,7019,7072,7231,7102,7139],"class_list":["post-124594","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-confinement","category-deuxieme-vague","category-epidemiologie","tag-confinement","tag-coronavirus","tag-covid-19","tag-deuxieme-vague","tag-pandemie","tag-reanimation"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/124594","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=124594"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/124594\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":124596,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/124594\/revisions\/124596"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=124594"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=124594"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=124594"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}