{"id":125201,"date":"2020-11-30T21:52:41","date_gmt":"2020-11-30T20:52:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/?p=125201"},"modified":"2020-11-30T21:57:09","modified_gmt":"2020-11-30T20:57:09","slug":"covid-19-succes-du-deuxieme-confinement-par-a113","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/2020\/11\/30\/covid-19-succes-du-deuxieme-confinement-par-a113\/","title":{"rendered":"Covid-19 : Succ\u00e8s du deuxi\u00e8me confinement<\/b>, par a113"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"La courbe bleue <\/b><\/i>repr\u00e9sente le\u00a0<\/i>taux de variation des admissions en r\u00e9animation\u00a0<\/b><\/i>(en comparant la moyenne des 7 jours courant \u00e0 celle de la veille) appel\u00e9 ici\u00a0: \u00ab\u00a0dynamique\u00a0\u00bb (d%)<\/i>
\nsi >0 , les services se remplissent<\/i>
\nsi=0 , situation en plateau<\/i>
\nsi<0 , les services se vident.<\/i>
\n<\/i><\/p>\n

on est >0 depuis fin Juillet +++<\/b><\/i><\/p>\n

La courbe rouge est la courbe en valeur absolue liss\u00e9e sur une semaine des entr\u00e9es en r\u00e9animation\u00a0<\/b>(multiplier par 100 pour obtenir le chiffre r\u00e9el.)<\/em><\/p>\n

———————————————————————————————————————————————————————————–<\/p>\n

Le confinement est tr\u00e8s efficace, quasiment autant qu’en avril, la forme des courbes est d\u00e9sormais comparable si ce n’est que le deuxi\u00e8me pic est 28% moins haut.<\/p>\n

On atteint des baisses d’effectifs en r\u00e9a > 5% par jour, ce qui donnerait un effectif de +- 2500 patients en r\u00e9a vers la mi-d\u00e9cembre.<\/p>\n

Mais le virus ayant peu chang\u00e9 malgr\u00e9 l’apparition de variants, les pr\u00e9cautions sanitaires doivent rester les m\u00eames.<\/p>\n

La p\u00e9riode va \u00eatre compliqu\u00e9e, entre les politiques de vaccination, leur disponibilit\u00e9 et leur efficacit\u00e9… et les contraintes socio-\u00e9conomiques (poursuite des mesures de restrictions ?)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\"\"La courbe bleue <\/b><\/i>repr\u00e9sente le\u00a0<\/i>taux de variation des admissions en r\u00e9animation\u00a0<\/b><\/i>(en comparant la moyenne des 7 jours courant \u00e0 celle de la veille) appel\u00e9 ici\u00a0: \u00ab\u00a0dynamique\u00a0\u00bb (d%)<\/i>
si >0 , les services se remplissent<\/i>
si=0 , situation en plateau<\/i>
si<0 , les services se […]<\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7095,6301],"tags":[7096,7019,7072,7102,7139],"class_list":["post-125201","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-confinement","category-epidemiologie","tag-confinement","tag-coronavirus","tag-covid-19","tag-pandemie","tag-reanimation"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125201","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=125201"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125201\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":125206,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125201\/revisions\/125206"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=125201"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=125201"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=125201"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}