{"id":129160,"date":"2021-08-13T19:55:48","date_gmt":"2021-08-13T17:55:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/?p=129160"},"modified":"2021-08-13T19:55:48","modified_gmt":"2021-08-13T17:55:48","slug":"covid-19-ca-se-calme-par-a113","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/2021\/08\/13\/covid-19-ca-se-calme-par-a113\/","title":{"rendered":"Covid-19 &#8211;<b>\u00c7a se calme<\/b>, par a113"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-129161\" src=\"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/Capture-decran-2021-08-13-183027.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"933\" height=\"499\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/Capture-decran-2021-08-13-183027.jpg 933w, https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/Capture-decran-2021-08-13-183027-300x160.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/Capture-decran-2021-08-13-183027-768x411.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 933px) 100vw, 933px\" \/> <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>La courbe bleue<\/strong><\/span><em><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>repr\u00e9sente le\u00a0<strong>taux de variation des admissions en r\u00e9animation\u00a0<\/strong>(en comparant la moyenne des 7 jours courant \u00e0 celle de la veille) appel\u00e9 ici\u00a0 : \u00ab\u00a0dynamique\u00a0\u00bb (d%)<\/em> <em>si &gt;0 , les services se remplissent<\/em> <em>si=0 , situation en plateau<\/em> <em>si&lt;0 , les services se vident.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong><u>la courbe rouge<\/u> est la courbe en valeur absolue liss\u00e9e sur une semaine des entr\u00e9es en r\u00e9animation\u00a0<\/strong>(multiplier par 100 pour obtenir le chiffre r\u00e9el.)<\/p>\n<p>Depuis le 2 ao\u00fbt, \u00e7a se calme : on est \u00e0 une hausse mod\u00e9r\u00e9e des entr\u00e9es en soins intensifs de 4,6% (maxi \u00e0 8,4% le 2 ao\u00fbt) et la tendance est \u00e0 la baisse. Reste \u00e0 savoir comment va se passer le retour des estivants chez eux, apr\u00e8s le 15 ao\u00fbt +++ <\/p>\n<p>Dans l&rsquo;Ari\u00e8ge (taux d&rsquo;incidence&gt;300+++), on peut \u00ab\u00a0voir\u00a0\u00bb sur la carte les contaminations li\u00e9es aux lieux fr\u00e9quent\u00e9s par les vacanciers, c&rsquo;est flagrant&#8230;. <\/p>\n<p>\u00c0 suivre&#8230; car on est de plus en plus loin du terminus.. j&rsquo;avoue que, disant comme d&rsquo;autres confr\u00e8res en janvier 2020 que ce virus\u00a0semblait \u00eatre une \u00ab\u00a0saloperie\u00a0\u00bb, je pensais tout de m\u00eame qu&rsquo;il \u00e9puiserait\u00a0en 18-24 mois ses capacit\u00e9s de \u00ab\u00a0gain de fonction\u00a0\u00bb comme classiquement\u00a0dans une pand\u00e9mie de ce type &#8230;. <\/p>\n<p>Maintenant il semble qu&rsquo;avec les capacit\u00e9s de contamination du \u00ab\u00a0delta\u00a0\u00bb,\u00a0il \u00ab\u00a0s&rsquo;attaque\u00a0\u00bb aux pays ayant appliqu\u00e9 le 0-covid. Tant qu&rsquo;il restera autant de personnes non-vaccin\u00e9es, il va continuer \u00e0\u00a0circuler activement, d&rsquo;autant que les vaccin\u00e9s sont aussi (dans une moindre mesure) transmetteurs. Il reste en France environ 20 millions de non-vaccin\u00e9s , \u00e7a vaudrait le\u00a0coup de tester tout ce monde avec des tests group\u00e9s.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-129161\" src=\"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/Capture-decran-2021-08-13-183027.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"933\" height=\"499\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/Capture-decran-2021-08-13-183027.jpg 933w, https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/Capture-decran-2021-08-13-183027-300x160.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/Capture-decran-2021-08-13-183027-768x411.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 933px) 100vw, 933px\" \/> <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>La courbe bleue<\/strong><\/span><em><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>repr\u00e9sente le\u00a0<strong>taux de variation des admissions en r\u00e9animation\u00a0<\/strong>(en comparant la moyenne des 7 jours courant \u00e0 celle de la veille) appel\u00e9 ici\u00a0 : \u00ab\u00a0dynamique\u00a0\u00bb (d%)<\/em> <em>si &gt;0 , les services se remplissent<\/em> <em>si=0 , situation en plateau<\/em> <em>si&lt;0 , les services se [&hellip;]<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6301],"tags":[7019,7072,7102],"class_list":["post-129160","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-epidemiologie","tag-coronavirus","tag-covid-19","tag-pandemie"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/129160","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=129160"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/129160\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":129166,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/129160\/revisions\/129166"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=129160"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=129160"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=129160"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}