<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
38%<\/span>\n <\/div>\n\n
S1 Accord partiel<\/span><\/p>\n\n
<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
28%<\/span>\n <\/div>\n\n
S3 Escalade<\/span><\/p>\n\n
<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
22%<\/span>\n <\/div>\n\n
S4 Effondrement<\/span><\/p>\n\n
<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
12%<\/span>\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\nEstimations qualitatives fondées sur les positions documentées des acteurs au 28 mars 2026.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n
Animation par Claude Sonnet 4.6<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Cliquez sur l’un des sc\u00e9narios.<\/p>\n
\n
\n
Situation au 28 mars 2026 — J+28<\/p>\n
\n
\n
M_cross actuel<\/p>\n
5%<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n
\n
\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[72,10424,1627,3001,6392,9516],"tags":[11524,10892,11533,11532,11531,11535,11525,11503,11518,11523,11522,503,10428,1590,11416,11521,11534,11527,11475,11528,347,11529,11530,3521,11517,9319,6487,11526],"class_list":["post-147209","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-etats-unis","category-genesis","category-geopolitique-2","category-guerre-2","category-iran","category-israel","tag-asymetrie-strategique","tag-bifurcation","tag-ccg","tag-chine-energie","tag-coalition-internationale","tag-controle-des-flux","tag-couplage-asymetrique","tag-detroit-dormuz","tag-emergence-dinterface","tag-fermeture-dormuz","tag-flux-energetiques","tag-g7","tag-genesis","tag-geopolitique","tag-infrastructures-critiques","tag-interface-critique","tag-iran-strategie","tag-lyapunov","tag-m_cross","tag-metastabilite","tag-petrole","tag-pipelines-alternatifs","tag-securite-maritime","tag-systemes-complexes","tag-systemes-couples","tag-transition-de-phase","tag-transport-maritime","tag-_j"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147209","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=147209"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147209\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":147215,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147209\/revisions\/147215"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=147209"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=147209"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=147209"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}