{"id":3496,"date":"2009-06-28T09:42:32","date_gmt":"2009-06-28T07:42:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/?p=3496"},"modified":"2009-06-28T10:18:01","modified_gmt":"2009-06-28T08:18:01","slug":"l%e2%80%99observatoire-du-monde-financier-semaine-du-28-juin-au-4-juillet-2009","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/28\/l%e2%80%99observatoire-du-monde-financier-semaine-du-28-juin-au-4-juillet-2009\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u2019observatoire du monde financier &#8211; Semaine du 28 juin au 4 juillet 2009"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Une analyse par John Mauldin (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.frontlinethoughts.com\/subscribe.asp\">The End of the Recession<\/a>) des chiffres de l\u2019emploi am\u00e9ricain : <\/p>\n<p>Le \u00ab bon chiffre \u00bb d\u2019une perte de \u00ab seulement \u00bb 345.000 emplois en mai aux USA doit \u00eatre pris avec un grain de sel : 217.000 cr\u00e9ations d\u2019emploi ont \u00e9t\u00e9 postul\u00e9es \u00e0 partir d\u2019une \u00ab correction statistique \u00bb fond\u00e9e sur des donn\u00e9es historiques. Mauldin observe : ces 217.000 emplois nouveaux n\u2019existent probablement pas.<\/p>\n<p>On attache une grande importance au fait que le taux d\u2019\u00e9pargne des m\u00e9nages am\u00e9ricains a rebondi jusqu\u2019\u00e0 atteindre 6,9 % (voir graphique). Comme parall\u00e8lement le pouvoir d\u2019achat s\u2019est accru moins vite que les d\u00e9penses, Mauldin y voit un artefact du plan de relance, \u00ab Attendons encore un mois avant de juger \u00bb, dit-il.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/savings.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/savings.jpg\" alt=\"\" title=\"Epargne des menages US\" width=\"500\" height=\"300\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-3497\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/savings.jpg 541w, https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/savings-300x180.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>===========================================<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.voxeu.org\/index.php?q=node\/3421\">A Tale of Two Depressions<\/a> par Barry Eichengreen et Kevin H. O\u2019Rourke <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cfr.org\/content\/publications\/attachments\/2009OutlookFinal_Long.pdf\">Quarterly Update: The Recession in Historical Context<\/a> par Paul Swartz.<\/p>\n<p>Deux comparaisons entre 1929 et la situation actuelle. Toutes deux ont le m\u00eame message : au pire, la crise pr\u00e9sente est pire que la Grande Crise, au mieux, elle a la m\u00eame ampleur.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Une analyse par John Mauldin (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.frontlinethoughts.com\/subscribe.asp\">The End of the Recession<\/a>) des chiffres de l\u2019emploi am\u00e9ricain : <\/p>\n<p>Le \u00ab bon chiffre \u00bb d\u2019une perte de \u00ab seulement \u00bb 345.000 emplois en mai aux USA doit \u00eatre pris avec un grain de sel : 217.000 cr\u00e9ations d\u2019emploi ont \u00e9t\u00e9 postul\u00e9es \u00e0 partir d\u2019une \u00ab correction [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,18],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3496","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economie","category-monde-financier"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3496","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3496"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3496\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3505,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3496\/revisions\/3505"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3496"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3496"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pauljorion.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3496"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}