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Agents using financial models and the “human cognitive cocktail”
I’m working on the paper to be given at the Human Complex Systems’ one-day conference on March 8th. I don’t want to divulge prematurely any scoop but at the same time I’d like to share some of my puzzlement as I go, and as if thinking aloud.
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LLMs deal essentially with language but seems amenable to graphics as well. To such an extent that one may wonder…
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I intend to read the Krichmar paper, thanks for mentioning it. I looked in my library, I’ve got a 1987…
It’s becoming clear that with all the brain and consciousness theories out there, the proof will be in the pudding.…
Do Androids dream of electric sheeps ? Yes. Thanks Paul.
You say that A machine with only primary consciousness will probably have to come first. That’s the way evolution proceeded:…
It’s becoming clear that with all the brain and consciousness theories out there, the proof will be in the pudding.…
I fear your views of AI are pretty much outdated. They pre-date in any case neural networks. What you are…
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![Rube […]</a/></a></p></p><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-text"><a class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-link" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2008/02/10/agents-using-financial-models-and-the-%e2%80%9chuman-cognitive-cocktail%e2%80%9d/">read more…</a></p></div>
<div class="wp-block-group is-content-justification-right is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-17124a9a wp-block-group-is-layout-flex"><div class="wp-block-post-comments-count">3</div>
<a class="wp-block-read-more" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2008/02/10/agents-using-financial-models-and-the-%e2%80%9chuman-cognitive-cocktail%e2%80%9d/" target="_self">comment(s)<span class="screen-reader-text">: Agents using financial models and the “human cognitive cocktail”</span></a></div>
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</li><li class="wp-block-post post-98 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-finance category-human-complex-systems category-subprime">
<div class="wp-block-group is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow"><h2 class="alignwide wp-block-post-title has-var-wp-custom-typography-font-size-huge-clamp-2-25-rem-4-vw-2-75-rem-font-size"><a href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2008/01/25/the-subprime-crisis-a-human-complex-system-phenomenon/" target="_self" >The subprime crisis: a human complex system phenomenon</a></h2>
<div class="wp-block-group is-content-justification-left is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-fc9f69e7 wp-block-group-is-layout-flex"><div class="wp-block-post-date"><time datetime="2008-01-25T04:22:18+01:00"><a href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2008/01/25/the-subprime-crisis-a-human-complex-system-phenomenon/">Jan 25, 2008 4:22 AM</a></time></div></div>
<div class="wp-block-post-excerpt"><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__excerpt"><p>I’ll be speaking at UCLA on Saturday March 8th, 2008 at the<br /> <strong>Human Complex Systems – UCLA Four Campus Complexity Conference</strong>,<br /> UCLA Haines Hall 352. The conference starts at 9 AM, my own talk is at 2:30 PM.</p> <p>If it looks like proposing an entirely new paradigm for financial studies, that’s because that’s […]</p></p><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-text"><a class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-link" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2008/01/25/the-subprime-crisis-a-human-complex-system-phenomenon/">read more…</a></p></div>
<div class="wp-block-group is-content-justification-right is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-17124a9a wp-block-group-is-layout-flex"><div class="wp-block-post-comments-count">4</div>
<a class="wp-block-read-more" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2008/01/25/the-subprime-crisis-a-human-complex-system-phenomenon/" target="_self">comment(s)<span class="screen-reader-text">: The subprime crisis: a human complex system phenomenon</span></a></div>
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</li><li class="wp-block-post post-97 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-economy category-subprime">
<div class="wp-block-group is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow"><h2 class="alignwide wp-block-post-title has-var-wp-custom-typography-font-size-huge-clamp-2-25-rem-4-vw-2-75-rem-font-size"><a href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2008/01/24/the-subprime-crisis-in-2007/" target="_self" >The subprime crisis in 2007</a></h2>
<div class="wp-block-group is-content-justification-left is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-fc9f69e7 wp-block-group-is-layout-flex"><div class="wp-block-post-date"><time datetime="2008-01-24T16:51:26+01:00"><a href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2008/01/24/the-subprime-crisis-in-2007/">Jan 24, 2008 4:51 PM</a></time></div></div>
<div class="wp-block-post-excerpt"><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__excerpt"><p>I’m aware I’ve neglected my English blog but there were two good justifications for that: I was finishing writing up a new book called “La crise des subprimes en 2007” (untranslatable) and I was promoting that coming book in Paris by <a href="http://www.pauljorion.com/blog/?p=306 ">speaking</a> at the Ecole Normale Supérieure, <a href="http://www.pauljorion.com/blog/?p=310">talking </a> on the radio […]</p></p><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-text"><a class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-link" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2008/01/24/the-subprime-crisis-in-2007/">read more…</a></p></div>
<div class="wp-block-group is-content-justification-right is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-17124a9a wp-block-group-is-layout-flex"><div class="wp-block-post-comments-count">1</div>
<a class="wp-block-read-more" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2008/01/24/the-subprime-crisis-in-2007/" target="_self">comment(s)<span class="screen-reader-text">: The subprime crisis in 2007</span></a></div>
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</li><li class="wp-block-post post-96 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-economy category-finance category-subprime">
<div class="wp-block-group is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow"><h2 class="alignwide wp-block-post-title has-var-wp-custom-typography-font-size-huge-clamp-2-25-rem-4-vw-2-75-rem-font-size"><a href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/12/21/2008s-new-fad-rating-cliffs-and-credit-cliffs/" target="_self" >2008’s new fad: “rating cliffs” and “credit cliffs”</a></h2>
<div class="wp-block-group is-content-justification-left is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-fc9f69e7 wp-block-group-is-layout-flex"><div class="wp-block-post-date"><time datetime="2007-12-21T18:07:09+01:00"><a href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/12/21/2008s-new-fad-rating-cliffs-and-credit-cliffs/">Dec 21, 2007 6:07 PM</a></time></div></div>
<div class="wp-block-post-excerpt"><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__excerpt"><p>Do you know what will be all the rage in 2008 in the wake of the <em>subprime</em> crisis? “Rating cliffs” and “credit cliffs” when firms that have seen a slow erosion of their credit will all of a sudden drop like a stone. As I devoted a whole chapter to the subject back in 2003 […]</p></p><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-text"><a class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-link" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/12/21/2008s-new-fad-rating-cliffs-and-credit-cliffs/">read more…</a></p></div>
<div class="wp-block-group is-content-justification-right is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-17124a9a wp-block-group-is-layout-flex"><div class="wp-block-post-comments-count">3</div>
<a class="wp-block-read-more" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/12/21/2008s-new-fad-rating-cliffs-and-credit-cliffs/" target="_self">comment(s)<span class="screen-reader-text">: 2008’s new fad: “rating cliffs” and “credit cliffs”</span></a></div>
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</li><li class="wp-block-post post-94 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-artificial-intelligence">
<div class="wp-block-group is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow"><h2 class="alignwide wp-block-post-title has-var-wp-custom-typography-font-size-huge-clamp-2-25-rem-4-vw-2-75-rem-font-size"><a href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/30/the-individual-unit-in-the-network-as-far-as-speech-generation-is-concerned-is-a-word-pair/" target="_self" >The individual unit in the network as far as speech generation is concerned is a word-pair</a></h2>
<div class="wp-block-group is-content-justification-left is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-fc9f69e7 wp-block-group-is-layout-flex"><div class="wp-block-post-date"><time datetime="2007-11-30T02:12:31+01:00"><a href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/30/the-individual-unit-in-the-network-as-far-as-speech-generation-is-concerned-is-a-word-pair/">Nov 30, 2007 2:12 AM</a></time></div></div>
<div class="wp-block-post-excerpt"><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__excerpt"><p><strong>Thought as word dynamics. II. Architecture (5)</strong></p> <p>Mathematically speaking, a graph is a set of ordered pairs. It can be decomposed in elementary units of individual pairs. Each of the two elements in an ordered pair represents a <em>node</em> in the graph and every pair represents an <em>edge</em>. Say, there are four nodes, A, B, […]</p></p><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-text"><a class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-link" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/30/the-individual-unit-in-the-network-as-far-as-speech-generation-is-concerned-is-a-word-pair/">read more…</a></p></div>
<div class="wp-block-group is-content-justification-right is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-17124a9a wp-block-group-is-layout-flex"><div class="wp-block-post-comments-count">1</div>
<a class="wp-block-read-more" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/30/the-individual-unit-in-the-network-as-far-as-speech-generation-is-concerned-is-a-word-pair/" target="_self">comment(s)<span class="screen-reader-text">: The individual unit in the network as far as speech generation is concerned is a word-pair</span></a></div>
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</li><li class="wp-block-post post-93 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-anthropology category-economy category-human-complex-systems">
<div class="wp-block-group is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow"><h2 class="alignwide wp-block-post-title has-var-wp-custom-typography-font-size-huge-clamp-2-25-rem-4-vw-2-75-rem-font-size"><a href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/27/the-long-term-goals-of-businesses/" target="_self" >The long-term goals of businesses</a></h2>
<div class="wp-block-group is-content-justification-left is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-fc9f69e7 wp-block-group-is-layout-flex"><div class="wp-block-post-date"><time datetime="2007-11-27T00:57:58+01:00"><a href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/27/the-long-term-goals-of-businesses/">Nov 27, 2007 12:57 AM</a></time></div></div>
<div class="wp-block-post-excerpt"><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__excerpt"><p>Businesses don’t seem to have any long–term goals apart from staying in business. They no doubt provide benefits to their shareholders and executives during their lifetime but why they aim at persisting in their existence with little reflection devoted to the “why?” of it is far from obvious. There is a clear analogy here with […]</p></p><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-text"><a class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-link" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/27/the-long-term-goals-of-businesses/">read more…</a></p></div>
<div class="wp-block-group is-content-justification-right is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-17124a9a wp-block-group-is-layout-flex"><div class="wp-block-post-comments-count">1</div>
<a class="wp-block-read-more" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/27/the-long-term-goals-of-businesses/" target="_self">comment(s)<span class="screen-reader-text">: The long-term goals of businesses</span></a></div>
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</li><li class="wp-block-post post-91 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-human-complex-systems">
<div class="wp-block-group is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow"><h2 class="alignwide wp-block-post-title has-var-wp-custom-typography-font-size-huge-clamp-2-25-rem-4-vw-2-75-rem-font-size"><a href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/23/human-complex-systems/" target="_self" >Human Complex Systems</a></h2>
<div class="wp-block-group is-content-justification-left is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-fc9f69e7 wp-block-group-is-layout-flex"><div class="wp-block-post-date"><time datetime="2007-11-23T16:21:37+01:00"><a href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/23/human-complex-systems/">Nov 23, 2007 4:21 PM</a></time></div></div>
<div class="wp-block-post-excerpt"><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__excerpt"><p>My French blog was started on February 28th, my English blog, a few days later, on March 3rd, both of this year. By mid-July, the French blog had an average readership of 40 per day, among whom about 20 new readers; by now, 4 months later, the average readership is 160 (over the past 30 […]</p></p><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-text"><a class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-link" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/23/human-complex-systems/">read more…</a></p></div>
<div class="wp-block-group is-content-justification-right is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-17124a9a wp-block-group-is-layout-flex"><div class="wp-block-post-comments-count">0</div>
<a class="wp-block-read-more" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/23/human-complex-systems/" target="_self">comment(s)<span class="screen-reader-text">: Human Complex Systems</span></a></div>
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</li><li class="wp-block-post post-89 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-essential-questions">
<div class="wp-block-group is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow"><h2 class="alignwide wp-block-post-title has-var-wp-custom-typography-font-size-huge-clamp-2-25-rem-4-vw-2-75-rem-font-size"><a href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/18/gold-fish/" target="_self" >Gold fish</a></h2>
<div class="wp-block-group is-content-justification-left is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-fc9f69e7 wp-block-group-is-layout-flex"><div class="wp-block-post-date"><time datetime="2007-11-18T16:36:39+01:00"><a href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/18/gold-fish/">Nov 18, 2007 4:36 PM</a></time></div></div>
<div class="wp-block-post-excerpt"><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__excerpt"><p>I just had an odd vision. It happens on Judgment Day and I am shocked at the questions being asked from me: “How many gold fish in your care died of neglect? How many babies did you leave crying in the dark? Who were they? How many daisies did you trample?” I say “I feel […]</p></p><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-text"><a class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-link" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/18/gold-fish/">read more…</a></p></div>
<div class="wp-block-group is-content-justification-right is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-17124a9a wp-block-group-is-layout-flex"><div class="wp-block-post-comments-count">0</div>
<a class="wp-block-read-more" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/18/gold-fish/" target="_self">comment(s)<span class="screen-reader-text">: Gold fish</span></a></div>
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</li><li class="wp-block-post post-88 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-artificial-intelligence">
<div class="wp-block-group is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow"><h2 class="alignwide wp-block-post-title has-var-wp-custom-typography-font-size-huge-clamp-2-25-rem-4-vw-2-75-rem-font-size"><a href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/11/the-network-comprises-a-subset-of-the-words-the-%e2%80%9ccontent-words%e2%80%9d-of-a-particular-natural-language/" target="_self" >The network comprises a subset of the words (the “content words”) of a particular natural language</a></h2>
<div class="wp-block-group is-content-justification-left is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-fc9f69e7 wp-block-group-is-layout-flex"><div class="wp-block-post-date"><time datetime="2007-11-11T14:58:18+01:00"><a href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/11/the-network-comprises-a-subset-of-the-words-the-%e2%80%9ccontent-words%e2%80%9d-of-a-particular-natural-language/">Nov 11, 2007 2:58 PM</a></time></div></div>
<div class="wp-block-post-excerpt"><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__excerpt"><p><strong>Thought as word dynamics. II. Architecture (4)</strong></p> <p>In Indo-European languages there are two types of words. Every speaker has a very strong intuitive feeling of this. We have no difficulty when defining the meaning – or offering a definition – of words of the first type: “a rose is a flower that has many petals, […]</p></p><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-text"><a class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-link" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/11/the-network-comprises-a-subset-of-the-words-the-%e2%80%9ccontent-words%e2%80%9d-of-a-particular-natural-language/">read more…</a></p></div>
<div class="wp-block-group is-content-justification-right is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-17124a9a wp-block-group-is-layout-flex"><div class="wp-block-post-comments-count">0</div>
<a class="wp-block-read-more" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/11/the-network-comprises-a-subset-of-the-words-the-%e2%80%9ccontent-words%e2%80%9d-of-a-particular-natural-language/" target="_self">comment(s)<span class="screen-reader-text">: The network comprises a subset of the words (the “content words”) of a particular natural language</span></a></div>
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</li><li class="wp-block-post post-85 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-anthropology category-sociology">
<div class="wp-block-group is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow"><h2 class="alignwide wp-block-post-title has-var-wp-custom-typography-font-size-huge-clamp-2-25-rem-4-vw-2-75-rem-font-size"><a href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/07/how-wars-get-started/" target="_self" >How wars get started</a></h2>
<div class="wp-block-group is-content-justification-left is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-fc9f69e7 wp-block-group-is-layout-flex"><div class="wp-block-post-date"><time datetime="2007-11-07T16:36:02+01:00"><a href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/07/how-wars-get-started/">Nov 7, 2007 4:36 PM</a></time></div></div>
<div class="wp-block-post-excerpt"><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__excerpt"><p>When in 1975 I became a student at Cambridge University my parents visited me there. It was actually their first stay in England. My mother was enchanted with the country. I wanted to know why and she explained that houses were “normal”, people behaved “normally”, everything in England was so essentially “normal”. I pressed her […]</p></p><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-text"><a class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-link" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2007/11/07/how-wars-get-started/">read more…</a></p></div>
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This article goes along with what I was writing. It turns out it was published one day earlier than my…