←Previous Page[…] that’s left to do is get on with it ? So I followed DeepSeek’s advice, as I let you…
-
A population dynamics approach to the subprime crisis
One way of looking at the subprime crisis – and by this I mean only the properly real estate–based part of the unfolding drama – is in terms of population dynamics, in terms of three populations of borrowers who first entered the market and then left it in reverse order as the last to come
-
The Implosion, Finance vs. the Economy
My new book called “The Implosion, Finance vs. the Economy – What the subprime crisis reveals and foretells” (L’Implosion, La finance contre l’économie – Ce que révèle et annonce la crise des subprimes) will be published on May 4th. The publisher is Arthème Fayard, one of the top French publishers who will realize here a
-
The reasoning artificial toddler
I was interviewed earlier today by Richard Adhikari, a journalist at TechNewsWorld, about an Artificial Intelligence project. I didn’t know anything about that project except what would be the title of the article: “AI Program Thinks Like a 4-Year-Old”.
There is an excellent summary of what I had told the journalist:
“I’m always
-
The end of trust in the subprime crisis and how to model it
The subprime crisis is often explained in terms of trust: one day trust between financial counterparties vanished and here was a crisis. Explanations in terms of “market confidence” refer in fact to two distinct phenomena, one being indeed trust and the other one being more plainly straightforward profitability. Let me start with profitability. Subprime loans
-
The subprime crisis at UCLA
I’m happy with the way things worked out yesterday, March 8th, at the UCLA Complexity Science Conference with my paper: The Subprime Crisis: A Human Complex Systems Phenomenon.
Of course, trying to squeeze the whole crisis into an hour (1 ¼ with John Bragin’s express permission), it turned out I had much too much
-
Pricing models: why the good ones are useless and the true ones, priceless
I’ve mentioned already in Agents using financial models and the “human cognitive cocktail” a number of pitfalls linked to the task of modeling the subprime crisis in a Human Complex Systems perspective, especially those related to agents’ partial understanding of the models they’re using or in errors they’re making when using them. I’ve
-
Agents using financial models and the “human cognitive cocktail”
I’m working on the paper to be given at the Human Complex Systems’ one-day conference on March 8th. I don’t want to divulge prematurely any scoop but at the same time I’d like to share some of my puzzlement as I go, and as if thinking aloud.
Next PageContact
Contact Paul JorionMost recent comments
Well! It is comments such as yours that make the trip … worthy of the trouble! 😀
When I saw your work on P vs NP, I knew you were on to something profound. I couldn’t have…
Admittedly, I was a little thrown off by the direction this took. From my perspective, you (1) identified the major…
It’s wonderful seeing you at work with AI to formalize the synthesis of the insights you had so many years…
I solved it! Paradox! The epistemic barrier was always in Paradox. Maintain truth as ambiguous (Both true OR false) until…
This article goes along with what I was writing. It turns out it was published one day earlier than my…
LLMs deal essentially with language but seems amenable to graphics as well. To such an extent that one may wonder…
“the marvellous powers of the brain emerge not from any single, uniformly structured connectionist network but from highly evolved arrangements…
When the entangled narrative is based on the Bible, the problem is the Bible.
Most recent posts
- PRIBOR: CHE — Contextual Hyper-Embedding (uint8)
- Video – What makes a demonstration worthy of the name?
- Video – A revolutionary theory of consciousness : CFRT (Cross-Flow Resonance Theory)
- PRIBOR: “Combinatorial Magic” Logic – Proof of Concept
- Pribor: What do we do?
My books
Topics
- "Who Were We?"
- A NEW "US" FOR NEW TIMES
- Anthropology
- Art
- Artificial Intelligence
- Blog
- Brexit
- China
- Computing
- consciousness
- Cross-Flow Resonance Theory
- Cross?Flow Resonance Theory
- Currency
- Democracy
- Ecology
- Economy
- Essential questions
- Europe
- Extinction threat
- Finance
- Fine arts
- Fiscality
- Fukushima
- Fun
- History
- Human complex systems
- Internet
- Labour
- Law
- Libor
- Literature
- LLM
- Logic
- Mathematics
- Mystery
- neuroscience
- Nonsense
- Pandemic
- Philosophy of science
- Physics
- Politics
- PROTEST MOVEMENTS
- Psychoanalysis
- Scotland
- Sociology
- Spain
- Stewardship of Finance
- Subprime
- The Singularity
- Transhumanism
- United Kingdom
- United States
- Unspecified
- War
Tags
"L'avènement de la Singularité" "Thought as Word Dynamics" ANELLA A NEW "US" FOR NEW TIMES Angela Merkel Aristotle Artificial Intelligence Barclays Brexit capitalism Chair "Stewardship of Finance" Claude 3 consciousness debt Donald Trump ECB EFSF ESM Europe eurozone Foundations of mathematics France Germany GPT-4 Greece Herman Van Rompuy IMF Italy Jean-Claude Juncker José Manuel Barroso Large Language Models LIBOR linguistics LLM Mario Draghi Memory Pribor.io problem solving P vs NP Self-Aware Machines Spain speculation thalamus The Singularity United States