![Rube […]</a/></a></p></p><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-text"><a class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-link" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2008/02/10/agents-using-financial-models-and-the-%e2%80%9chuman-cognitive-cocktail%e2%80%9d/">read more…</a></p></div>
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<a class="wp-block-read-more" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2008/02/10/agents-using-financial-models-and-the-%e2%80%9chuman-cognitive-cocktail%e2%80%9d/" target="_self">comment(s)<span class="screen-reader-text">: Agents using financial models and the “human cognitive cocktail”</span></a></div>
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<div class="wp-block-group is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow"><h2 class="alignwide wp-block-post-title has-var-wp-custom-typography-font-size-huge-clamp-2-25-rem-4-vw-2-75-rem-font-size"><a href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2008/01/25/the-subprime-crisis-a-human-complex-system-phenomenon/" target="_self" >The subprime crisis: a human complex system phenomenon</a></h2>
<div class="wp-block-group is-content-justification-left is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-fc9f69e7 wp-block-group-is-layout-flex"><div class="wp-block-post-date"><time datetime="2008-01-25T04:22:18+01:00"><a href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2008/01/25/the-subprime-crisis-a-human-complex-system-phenomenon/">Jan 25, 2008 4:22 AM</a></time></div></div>
<div class="wp-block-post-excerpt"><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__excerpt"><p>I’ll be speaking at UCLA on Saturday March 8th, 2008 at the<br /> <strong>Human Complex Systems – UCLA Four Campus Complexity Conference</strong>,<br /> UCLA Haines Hall 352. The conference starts at 9 AM, my own talk is at 2:30 PM.</p> <p>If it looks like proposing an entirely new paradigm for financial studies, that’s because that’s […]</p></p><p class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-text"><a class="wp-block-post-excerpt__more-link" href="https://www.pauljorion.com/blog_en/2008/01/25/the-subprime-crisis-a-human-complex-system-phenomenon/">read more…</a></p></div>
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←Previous PageThis article goes along with what I was writing. It turns out it was published one day earlier than my…
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Would an interruption of the Gulf Stream be reversible? And if so, at what cost?
I’m blessed with a very popular blog in French. One of the questions that came up lately in my dialogue with commentators is that of the reversibility of major ecological disasters induced by human activity and of the feasibility of reversing such disasters with the tools pertaining to our current technology.
This is a serious […]
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The cunning of Reason
The very justification of a Human Complex System’s approach to the operation of human societies, implying a continuous explanatory spectrum from the individual (particle) to the cultural or societal levels (field), is offered by Hegel when he writes in Reason in History (*) that
… human actions in history produce additional results, beyond their […]
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A population dynamics approach to the subprime crisis
One way of looking at the subprime crisis – and by this I mean only the properly real estate–based part of the unfolding drama – is in terms of population dynamics, in terms of three populations of borrowers who first entered the market and then left it in reverse order as the last to come […]
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The Implosion, Finance vs. the Economy
My new book called “The Implosion, Finance vs. the Economy – What the subprime crisis reveals and foretells” (L’Implosion, La finance contre l’économie – Ce que révèle et annonce la crise des subprimes) will be published on May 4th. The publisher is Arthème Fayard, one of the top French publishers who will realize here a […]
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The reasoning artificial toddler
I was interviewed earlier today by Richard Adhikari, a journalist at TechNewsWorld, about an Artificial Intelligence project. I didn’t know anything about that project except what would be the title of the article: “AI Program Thinks Like a 4-Year-Old”.
There is an excellent summary of what I had told the journalist:
“I’m always […]
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The end of trust in the subprime crisis and how to model it
The subprime crisis is often explained in terms of trust: one day trust between financial counterparties vanished and here was a crisis. Explanations in terms of “market confidence” refer in fact to two distinct phenomena, one being indeed trust and the other one being more plainly straightforward profitability. Let me start with profitability. Subprime loans […]
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The subprime crisis at UCLA
I’m happy with the way things worked out yesterday, March 8th, at the UCLA Complexity Science Conference with my paper: The Subprime Crisis: A Human Complex Systems Phenomenon.
Of course, trying to squeeze the whole crisis into an hour (1 ¼ with John Bragin’s express permission), it turned out I had much too much […]
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Pricing models: why the good ones are useless and the true ones, priceless
I’ve mentioned already in Agents using financial models and the “human cognitive cocktail” a number of pitfalls linked to the task of modeling the subprime crisis in a Human Complex Systems perspective, especially those related to agents’ partial understanding of the models they’re using or in errors they’re making when using them. I’ve […]
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Agents using financial models and the “human cognitive cocktail”
I’m working on the paper to be given at the Human Complex Systems’ one-day conference on March 8th. I don’t want to divulge prematurely any scoop but at the same time I’d like to share some of my puzzlement as I go, and as if thinking aloud.
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LLMs deal essentially with language but seems amenable to graphics as well. To such an extent that one may wonder…
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When the entangled narrative is based on the Bible, the problem is the Bible.
I intend to read the Krichmar paper, thanks for mentioning it. I looked in my library, I’ve got a 1987…
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Do Androids dream of electric sheeps ? Yes. Thanks Paul.
You say that A machine with only primary consciousness will probably have to come first. That’s the way evolution proceeded:…
It’s becoming clear that with all the brain and consciousness theories out there, the proof will be in the pudding.…
I fear your views of AI are pretty much outdated. They pre-date in any case neural networks. What you are…
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