Well! It is comments such as yours that make the trip … worthy of the trouble! 😀
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The ABS and Uncle Sam
Mr. Paul Schulten is asking me the following:
“It is true that delinquencies and losses in residential mortgage backed securities (RMBS) are strongly correlated with home price appreciation (HPA) or in the current environment home price depreciation (HPD).
As we enter a period of possible decline in home prices these losses accumulate first to
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The credit crunch’s cogwheels
Collective human phenomena are as a rule tricky to analyze and consequently tough understanding and explaining. The reason is learning. Even if at its core a process remains simple, people learn: they observe how things work and they adapt. Adaptation in its turn modifies the process and initiates an endless dynamics of change. Such feedback
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Old-style publishing a paper
Now when you want to publish an article, you write it, you put it on your website and within days hundreds if not thousands of people have read it. Sometimes someone will approach you and ask if they can publish it in the old-fashioned way, in a journal, and you’ll say “Why not?” In the
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The un-American solution to the subprime mess
Among the remedies mentioned for the subprime crisis, I haven’t seen listed the system I went through when getting a mortgage in England back in those days. Here is how it worked: the first step would be for you to open an account with a building society; then you would start saving, sending a check
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Since we can’t fix the subprime mess can we at least make sure it doesn’t happen again?
One of the greatest American traditions is for families to get together at Christmas and watch with ever-renewed delight Frank Capra’s “It’s a Wonderful Life.” Recent events in the financial world, and in the mortgage business in particular, suggest that the movie should be introduced with this important disclaimer: “WARNING: The movie you’re about to
0comment(s): Since we can’t fix the subprime mess can we at least make sure it doesn’t happen again?
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Woody Allen’s “Death Knocks”
In Death Knocks, Woody Allen provides a new treatment to a classical theme: a man seeing himself on a final mission succeeds in buying time from the ineluctability of death by challenging a personified death to a game that he wins, gaining so a temporary reprieve. The allegory reminds us that life amounts in every
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Toons in contemporary LA underground iconography
Since Roy Lichtenstein made a lasting impression on the fine arts’ scene by turning individual frames of comic strips – or at least a likeness of them – into paintings, expanding to their new scale the standard pointilliste techniques for representing shading on newspaper-quality paper, a point of transit has been established between the exclusive
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Trouble’s a Bubble, introducing the stock synthetic
In January of this year, I gave a talk in Paris, at University of Paris X – Nanterre, to a group of economists on “Value and price.” The paper was published online in April in “La gazette permanente du MAUSS” (1). It is in French – as suits speaking in Paris. There is however an
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Now that the housing bubble has burst, who’s to blame?
Blame is flying in all directions: mortgage lenders had stopped bothering whether or not borrowers could repay as they were passing the buck to Wall Street anyway; Wall Street firms were using subprime mortgages of any denomination as innocuous stuffing in Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs); regulators failed to curb the worst forms of abuse –
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The smile in Black and Scholes
This is a bit of a detective story, a bit of a puzzle. The method is archaeological.
This morning a colleague of mine sends me an e-mail entitled “importance of correlations.” There are several attachments. One of them is an article by Don Chance entitled “Rethinking Implied Volatility” (*). In it, the author writes
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Most recent comments
When I saw your work on P vs NP, I knew you were on to something profound. I couldn’t have…
Admittedly, I was a little thrown off by the direction this took. From my perspective, you (1) identified the major…
It’s wonderful seeing you at work with AI to formalize the synthesis of the insights you had so many years…
I solved it! Paradox! The epistemic barrier was always in Paradox. Maintain truth as ambiguous (Both true OR false) until…
This article goes along with what I was writing. It turns out it was published one day earlier than my…
LLMs deal essentially with language but seems amenable to graphics as well. To such an extent that one may wonder…
“the marvellous powers of the brain emerge not from any single, uniformly structured connectionist network but from highly evolved arrangements…
When the entangled narrative is based on the Bible, the problem is the Bible.
I intend to read the Krichmar paper, thanks for mentioning it. I looked in my library, I’ve got a 1987…
Most recent posts
- How I discovered the mechanism of consciousness … in 1999 – Episode 9. Does sensory deprivation confirm the cross-flow resonance theory of consciousness (CFRT)?
- How I discovered the mechanism of consciousness … in 1999 – Episode 8. “The Holographic Present: A Primer of a Cross‑Flow Resonance Theory of Consciousness”
- Unilog 2022 – What makes a demonstration worthy of the name?, now on arXiv
- How I discovered the mechanism of consciousness … in 1999 – Episode 7. A Synthetic Article on a Cross-Flow Resonance Theory of Consciousness
- How I discovered the mechanism of consciousness … in 1999 – Episode 6. Inertia in the advancement of knowledge
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